Trust is the whole product. We publish our accuracy, our data sources, our model weights, our commercial relationships, and the forecasts we got wrong. If we hide something, assume it's because we're embarrassed by it — so we don't hide anything.
Every resolved market since EDJE went live. We leave every call published — wins and misses — and annotate the resolution. No market gets quietly deleted.
◆ SHOWING LAST 12 · 148 TOTAL · LOAD MORE →
We disclose each model's standalone hit rate before reconciliation. Shows you which models carry which categories — and why we weight them the way we do.
◆ RECONCILED ENSEMBLE = 73.2% · higher than any single model · METHODOLOGY →
Where we win and where we lose. If we're bad at a category, we tell you — don't trade blind.
◆ MENTIONS MARKETS (what will Trump/Vance/CEO say) are barely coin-flip. We publish them for context but don't recommend trading them without large edges.
Every number in every forecast traces back to a primary source. Here's the full stack.
If we hide our misses, we're not a research publisher — we're a hype machine. Here are the biggest calls we blew in the last 60 days, with annotations on why.
Every dollar flowing in or out of EDJE, disclosed.